我國水稻種植分布及其對(duì)氣候變化的響應(yīng).pdf

1、中國氣象科學(xué)研究院南京信息工程大學(xué)博士學(xué)位論文我國7jC稻種植分布及其對(duì)氣候變化的響應(yīng)研究生導(dǎo)師專業(yè)研究方向mm研究員人1物輝.學(xué)4人氣環(huán):農(nóng)業(yè)氣象^；1:.態(tài)環(huán)境論文完成日期：2012年3月AbstractRiceplantingdistributionanditsresponsetoclimatechangeinChinaDuanJuqi(AtmosphericPhysic&AtmosphericEnvironment)Direct

2、edbyProfessZhouGuangshengAbstract:Riceservesasabasicstaplefapproximately65%oftheChinaspopulationhasadominantpositioninfoodproductionandconsumptioninChina.Thisresearchsobjectivesaretoclarifymajclimatefactsaffectingthedist

3、ributionofriceplantingregioninChinabasedonnationalannualscalestogivethedistributionofriceplantingregionitsclimaticsuitabilitydivisionstogivedecadaldynamicdistributionofriceclimaticsuitabilityinChinasince1961indertoprovid

4、ereferencefoptimizingriceplantingpatternmakingcountermeasurestocopewithclimatechangeinChina.Intermsofpotentialclimatefactorsselectedfromtherelatedliteraturesbasedonnationalandannualscalesricegeographicinfmationfromnation

5、alagrometeologicalobservationstationsofChinaMeteologicalAdministration(CMA)meteologicaldatacrespondinglytogetherwiththemaximumentropymodel(MaxEnt)thespatialanalystfunctionofArcGISsoftwaremajclimatefactsaffectingthedistri

6、butionofdoublericeplantingregioninChinawouldbeclarifiedricepotentialplantingdistributionitsclimaticsuitabilitywouldberevealeddecadaldynamicdistributionofriceclimaticsuitabilityinChinafrom1961to2010wouldbeanalyzedfurtherm

7、e.Themainresultsareasfollows:Annualprecipitation(P)moistureindex(MI)daysofnotlessthan18。Cstably(Nig)aredominantclimatefactsaffectingpotentialdistributionofsinglericeplantingregiononannualscaleinChina.Thedominantclimatefa

8、ctsaffectingdoublecroppingriceplantingpotentialdistributiononannualscaleinChinaincludeannualprecipitation(P)meantemperatureofthewarmestmonth(Tw)daysofnotlessthan18。CstabIy(N]s).Thedistributionofsingledoublericeplantingre

9、gioninChinaissimulatedwellintermsofthemaximumentropymodeltheselecteddominantclimatefactors.魯LowmiddlehighnoneclimaticsuitabilitiesofsingleanddoublericeplantingpotentialdistributioninChinaaregivenaccdingtothepredictionpre